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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Sports→Settlement: Cincinnati RedsLiquidity: $166.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $294.7KEvent: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
0.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals payout
100.0¢
Cincinnati Reds payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:St. Louis Cardinals · $12.9K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$33.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$16.0K@ 42¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cincinnati Reds. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 19 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $25.7K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $17.8K gross
1winstreak13 linked markets · $7.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY St. Louis Cardinals@ 42.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor St. Louis Cardinals; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $4.4K
6hCincinnati Reds · $5.2K
24hSt. Louis Cardinals · $7.0K

St. Louis Cardinals price VWAP

Volume-weighted St. Louis Cardinals price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary St. Louis Cardinals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h39.0¢▼ below by 39.0pp
VWAP 7d39.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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St. Louis Cardinals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$3
70¢
$5.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$63.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$192
25¢
$6.2K
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$72
10¢
$53
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$8.3K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati Reds$10.3K@ 59.0¢0xfe54…41d6🐋—4 days ago
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$16.0K@ 42.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—4 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026St. Louis Cardinals$16.0K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardCincinnati Reds$10.3K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·2 fills
0xfe54…41d6Cincinnati Reds$10.3K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.