Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
NO pressure: −$6.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
2 verified profitable wallets: −$29.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 75% · priority 0
Since latest confirmed build: -20.9pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Executable quote is 26 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
- •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
Read full resolution rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and M80 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against M80. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.