Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

● quote 6 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $633.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

100.0¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly61Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:182 trades$155.6K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $324·2 wallets·$3.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBIG (YES)$9.1K@ 100¢·0x82d2…beea

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$2.8K

−$59.7K

tracked

$155.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$324 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
•Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-13 19:20 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://hltv.org

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between BIG and G2 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against BIG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h3 linked markets · $145.6K gross

0x0063…2dd23 linked markets · $69.6K gross

0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $64.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: NO DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $236 → $339 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$2.8K

6h−$59.7K

24h−$59.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current100.0¢

VWAP 24h60.3¢▲ above by 39.7pp

VWAP 7d60.3¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$41.3K

90¢

$1.7K

85¢

$3.3K

80¢

$5.0K