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UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $65.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $95.2KEvent: UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)
49.5¢
Charles Johnson payout
50.5¢
Jose Ochoa payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCharles Johnson$6.7K@ 24¢·taking0ver

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Jose Ochoa" if Jose Ochoa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Charles Johnson; negative values favor Jose Ochoa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCharles Johnson · $0
6hJose Ochoa · $1.8K
24hCharles Johnson · $11.0K

Charles Johnson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Charles Johnson price. Jose Ochoa fills are converted to the complementary Charles Johnson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h44.2¢▲ above by 5.3pp
VWAP 7d41.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Charles Johnson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$13.5K
45¢
← now
$9.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$11.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.