LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

● quote 1666 min ago
SportsCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $630.6KEvent: LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$5.3K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$37.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGIANTX (NO)$20.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$41.5K
tracked
$49.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$5.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Only 0 tracked trades / 75 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • Executable quote is 1666 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 1724 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against Movistar KOI. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $51.1K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $33.7K gross
0x5286…0d472 linked markets · $29.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$41.5K
24h+$41.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.2¢▼ below by 25.1pp
VWAP 7d25.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$936
85¢
$7.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$8.4K
70¢
$1.8K
65¢
$18.5K
60¢
$62.2K
55¢
$3.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$11.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$4.3K
10¢
$4.3K
5¢
$1.2K
0¢
← now
$105.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLGIANTX (NO)$19.0K@ 99.9¢0x5dd9…420f🐋1 day ago
SELLGIANTX (NO)$20.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋1 day ago
SELLGIANTX (NO)$10.3K@ 99.9¢0x5286…0d47🐋1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.