PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers

● quote 45 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $119.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $342.3KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:170 trades$126.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 68 min agoofficial metadata 48 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $16.7K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$24.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers (NO)$10.7K@ 98¢·curie

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$9.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.5K
6h
−$19.4K
tracked
$126.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$16.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 45 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 68 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 48 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 9 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5268…135d2 linked markets · $37.8K gross
curie2 linked markets · $22.9K gross
0xbca0…97052 linked markets · $3.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 72.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $8 → $7 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$9.5K
6h−$19.4K
24h−$40.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h27.3¢▼ below by 27.2pp
VWAP 7d27.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$31.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants
50.5¢$655.6Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
0.1¢$577.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$413.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
70.0¢$359.3Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
19.0¢$336.3Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf668…5c69Milwaukee Brewers$19.6K
BUY VWAP 71.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.