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Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals

Sports→Settlement: Kansas City RoyalsLiquidity: $285.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $332.4KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals
0.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
100.0¢
Kansas City Royals payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$70.8K@ 59¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kansas City Royals. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-15 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 8 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Kansas City Royals28d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Kansas City Royals@ 52.0¢29d ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.0pp1h CONFIRMED +24.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Kansas City Royals@ 42.0¢29d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Kansas City Royals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $96
6hKansas City Royals · $19.0K
24hKansas City Royals · $7.6K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Kansas City Royals fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h58.5¢▼ below by 58.5pp
VWAP 7d58.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$19.1K
55¢
$107.8K
50¢
$686
45¢
$115
40¢
$0
35¢
$13
30¢
$147
25¢
$6.8K
20¢
$9.9K
15¢
$1
10¢
$22
5¢
$91
0¢
← now
$4.8K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$70.8K@ 59.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—29 days ago
BUYKansas City Royals$21.4K@ 41.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—29 days ago
BUYChicago Cubs$11.3K@ 60.0¢
N340xfd67…ef90
🐋—29 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.