LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

● quote 11 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $819.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $651.3KEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:176 trades$289.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $1.5K·2 wallets·$7.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$39.3K@ 100¢·JaJa668

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$18.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.5K
6h
−$106.2K
tracked
$289.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$1.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 11 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-12 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 2 against EDward Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51203 linked markets · $100.3K gross
JaJa6683 linked markets · $51.9K gross
0xcae6…4f853 linked markets · $47.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Anyones Legend@ 94.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$18.5K
6h−$106.2K
24h−$106.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h11.3¢▼ below by 11.3pp
VWAP 7d11.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.5K
25¢
$69.8K
20¢
$37.4K
15¢
$6.8K
10¢
$16.6K
5¢
$22.8K
0¢
← now
$132.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLAnyones Legend (NO)$22.7K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAnyones Legend (NO)$10.0K@ 99.9¢0xcae6…4f85🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$39.3K@ 99.9¢
JaJa6680x3ebd…b66a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$10.4K@ 92.0¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$10.0K@ 87.3¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnyones Legend (NO)$11.2K@ 74.4¢0x292f…7fc2🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JaJa668Anyones Legend$43.4K
BUY VWAP 97.6¢·2 fills
five5120Anyones Legend$20.4K
BUY VWAP 89.6¢·2 fills
0xf030…12e2Anyones Legend$11.6K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·5 fills
0x292f…7fc2Anyones Legend$11.2K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·1 fill
0xcae6…4f85Anyones Legend$10.1K
BUY VWAP 84.6¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.