LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

● quote 2 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $609.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $880.4KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly55Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets52Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:230 trades$415.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $23.0K·5 wallets(2🐋)·$44.3K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA (NO)$72.1K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$6.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$6.7K

−$39.3K

tracked

$415.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: −$23.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: -22.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
•Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-12 17:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $158.5K gross

0xf23c…9f812 linked markets · $51.8K gross

0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $38.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY KT Rolster@ 23.0¢1h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 79.0¢1h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 79.0¢1h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY KT Rolster@ 23.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $99 → $183 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$6.7K

6h−$39.3K

24h−$40.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h21.0¢▼ below by 21.0pp

VWAP 7d21.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

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65¢

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55¢