LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

● quote 26 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $523.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $933.2KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:257 trades$366.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $42.5K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$110.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster (YES)$31.0K@ 37¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$22.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.4K
6h
−$55.4K
tracked
$366.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$42.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 26 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-12 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 2 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $158.5K gross
five51202 linked markets · $62.1K gross
0xf23c…9f812 linked markets · $51.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Dplus KIA@ 100.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Dplus KIA@ 71.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY KT Rolster@ 30.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 100.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $270$262 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$22.4K
6h$55.4K
24h$56.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.4¢▼ below by 23.4pp
VWAP 7d23.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$457
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$9.1K
50¢
$13.3K
45¢
$18.0K
40¢
$17.1K
35¢
$122.2K
30¢
$12.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$45.5K
5¢
$8.0K
0¢
← now
$114.8K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$11.5K@ 99.9¢0x5e8e…8212🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$10.2K@ 99.7¢0x04b1…d224🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$18.1K@ 99.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$21.1K@ 99.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$24.6K@ 90.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$12.8K@ 64.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster (YES)$31.0K@ 37.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$25.6K@ 62.7¢0xf23c…9f81🐋about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢$920.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$881.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢$2.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$2.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A
100.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
76.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
0.1¢$897.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Dplus KIA$63.7K
BUY VWAP 95.3¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563KT Rolster$34.1K
BUY VWAP 35.1¢·3 fills
0xf23c…9f81Dplus KIA$25.6K
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·1 fill
SineNooneEIDplus KIA$12.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0x04b1…d224Dplus KIA$12.2K
BUY VWAP 97.7¢·2 fills
0x5e8e…8212Dplus KIA$11.5K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x1660…5598KT Rolster$10.3K
BUY VWAP 46.2¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.