San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
● quote 219 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $180.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $869.1KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
11.5¢
YES
88.5¢
NO
2.9¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%
24h sample:135 trades$58.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 99%
tape 223 min agoofficial metadata 222 min ago
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
NO pressure: −$11.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
1h
−$11.5K
6h
−$52.2K
tracked
$58.4K
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
2.9¢displayed spread
Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.
Data confidence 76% · priority 46
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Executable quote is 219 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 223 minutes old.
- •Official market metadata is 222 minutes old.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h−$11.5K
6h−$52.2K
24h−$52.2K
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current11.5¢
VWAP 24h29.5¢▼ below by 18.1pp
VWAP 7d29.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.9K
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$550
40¢
$0
35¢
$74
30¢
$3.7K
25¢
$32.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$2
10¢
← now
$5.5K5¢
$6.6K
0¢
$225
VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity