Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

● quote 13 min ago

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $137.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $597.4KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

39.5¢

YES

60.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%

24h sample:101 trades$13.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 98%

tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians (NO)$10.3K@ 58¢·johnny234

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$485

−$11.4K

tracked

$13.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 13 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$485

6h−$11.4K

24h−$11.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current39.5¢

VWAP 24h39.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d39.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

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65¢

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55¢