LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

● quote 31 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $329.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $309.4KEvent: LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%
24h sample:79 trades$13.4K trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 66%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 31 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality.Bee (NO)$1.5K@ 63¢·0xdfa8…cae6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$1.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.3K
6h
−$587
tracked
$13.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 66% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 31 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1.3K
6h−$587
24h−$587

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h31.4¢▼ below by 31.3pp
VWAP 7d31.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$26
80¢
$285
75¢
$0
70¢
$171
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$858
35¢
$5.3K
30¢
$16
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$2.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity