Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

● quote 14 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $228.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $657.8KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
35.5¢
YES
64.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:83 trades$4.0K trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 74%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$703
6h
+$2.6K
tracked
$4.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 74% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 14 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$703
6h+$2.6K
24h+$2.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h50.9¢▼ below by 15.4pp
VWAP 7d50.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$33
40¢
$51
35¢
← now
$7
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
43.5¢$597.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
45.3¢$393.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Galions vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
0.1¢$310.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season
54.0¢$278.8Kpriority40Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
0.1¢$259.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$244.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?
0.1¢$244.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?
0.1¢$238.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity