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Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova

● quote 266 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $332.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $542.2KEvent: Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova
0.5¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartVerified directional wallets: positive measured PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:49 trades$51.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 309 min agoofficial metadata 268 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBarbora Krejcikova (NO)$18.6K@ 87¢·angelat0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$7.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.5K
6h
−$32.2K
tracked
$51.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$8.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 266 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 309 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 268 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Unknown
Deadline
2026-07-30 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$7.5K
6h−$32.2K
24h−$50.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.5¢
VWAP 24h9.2¢▼ below by 8.7pp
VWAP 7d9.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$288
10¢
$18.6K
5¢
$31.7K
0¢
← now
$397

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBarbora Krejcikova (NO)$18.6K@ 87.0¢
angelat00xd849…6ac7
🐋—1 day ago

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Verified directional wallets · 7d
swisstonyNO$8.0K signed