0xebc6257296364265b17cb6e2d605c66d14fdd45f
$-124916
Real PnL
-3.3%
ROI
$109.5K
Volume
$3.8M
Invested
33.3%
YES Bias
6
Trades (DB)
14/17
Markets Won
whale33Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:4 markets·current value $273.1K·69 closed
PnL by Market (73)4 open69 closed
● open No · $248.9Kin $2.2Mout $1.9Munreal +$84.2K
● open No · $23.4Kin $52.2Kout $29.6Kunreal +$307
● open No · $362in $341unreal +$21
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
● open No · $420in $292unreal +$128
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
● closedout $100.0K
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $203.7Kout $104.1K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
● closedin $59.4Kout $150.0K
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
● closedin $4.5Kout $54.8K
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
● closedin $249.1Kout $249.5K
● closedin $2.5Kout $2.8K
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
● closedin $174.3Kout $174.5K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
● closedin $186.0Kout $186.2K
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
● closedin $180.3Kout $180.4K
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
● closedin $105.4Kout $105.6K
● closedin $242.0Kout $242.1K
● closedin $300out $410
Will Hillary say "Prince" during her Epstein testimony?
● closedin $71.9Kout $71.9K
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $1.2Kout $1.2K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
● closedin $704out $705
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
● closed
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ●open No· $248.9K | $2.2M | $1.9M | +$84.2K | 0 | $-245313 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $23.4K | $52.2K | $29.6K | +$307 | 86 | $-22300 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $362 | $341 | $0 | +$21 | 1 | $-320 |
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? ●open No· $420 | $292 | $0 | +$128 | 1 | $-164 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $100.0K | — | 0 | +$100.0K |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $203.7K | $104.1K | — | 10 | $-99596 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? ● closed | $59.4K | $150.0K | — | 13 | +$90.6K |
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? ● closed | $4.5K | $54.8K | — | 1 | +$50.3K |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? ● closed | $249.1K | $249.5K | — | 47 | +$450 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ● closed | $2.5K | $2.8K | — | 9 | +$290 |
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026? ● closed | $174.3K | $174.5K | — | 11 | +$268 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? ● closed | $186.0K | $186.2K | — | 126 | +$206 |
US strikes Iraq by February 28? ● closed | $180.3K | $180.4K | — | 22 | +$180 |
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8) ● closed | $105.4K | $105.6K | — | 9 | +$156 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $242.0K | $242.1K | — | 15 | +$142 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $300 | $410 | — | 8 | +$110 |
Will Hillary say "Prince" during her Epstein testimony? ● closed | $71.9K | $71.9K | — | 7 | +$72 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $1.2K | $1.2K | — | 6 | +$1 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? ● closed | $704 | $705 | — | 2 | +$1 |
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (6)
Trading Activity · 90d
3 active days
Category Accuracy
Politics
$2.2M0%0/1
Geopolitics
$297.3K75%3/4
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
3 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
3 betsunresolved0/0
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