Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale26Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge13Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
Loading orderbook…
Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
Related Markets · Geopolitics
Netanyahu out by March 31?
0.4¢$77.0M72
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
0.8¢$54.5M24
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
1.7¢$38.7M60
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
13.3¢$34.0M59
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d