just.some.guy.2026
0x56ebe2a8eb1b9bccfd3059f981f9c987e45e076a
$-33289
Real PnL
-24.0%
ROI
$65.2K
Volume
$138.5K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
11
Trades (DB)
20/24
Markets Won
whale27Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:17 markets·current value $205.8K·28 closed
PnL by Market (45)17 open28 closed
● open No · $79.2Kin $30.0Kunreal +$5.3K
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $25.2Kout $10.9Kunreal +$3.3K
● open No · $47.4Kout $7.3Kunreal +$3.9K
● open No · $12.8Kin $22.4Kout $17.6Kunreal $-4583
● open No · $3.8Kin $23.2Kout $18.4Kunreal $-4000
Iran leadership change by April 30?
● open No · $7.8Kin $7.1Kunreal +$750
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
● open Yes · $4.2Kin $4.8Kunreal $-815
● open No · $1.8Kin $6.0Kout $12.1Kunreal $-800
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
● open Yes · $2.0Kin $3.0Kunreal $-975
● open No · $3.5Kin $3.4Kunreal +$63
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
● open No · $11.9Kin $3.8Kunreal +$421
● open No · $2.5Kin $7.7Kout $5.0Kunreal +$31
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
● open No · $1.7Kin $1.5Kunreal +$198
● open Yes · $843in $864unreal $-21
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
● open Yes · $50in $86unreal $-37
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?
● open Yes · $671in $25unreal +$85
● open Michigan Wolverines · $483in $260unreal +$224
● closedout $3.0K
● closedin $1.2K
● closedout $996
● closedout $996
● closedout $996
● closedin $840
● closedout $708
● closedin $14.0Kout $13.4K
● closedin $1.4Kout $2.0K
● closedin $570
● closedin $1.5Kout $2.0K
● closedin $470out $999
● closedout $508
● closedout $498
● closedin $490
● closedin $460
● closedin $540out $996
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)
● closedin $306out $649
● closedin $563out $749
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)
● closedin $171out $329
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
● closedout $153
● closedin $151out $193
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $1.7Kout $1.7K
● closed
● closed
● closed
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)
● closed
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $79.2K | $30.0K | $0 | +$5.3K | 4 | $-24727 |
Starmer out by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $25.2K | $0 | $10.9K | +$3.3K | 7 | +$14.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $47.4K | $0 | $7.3K | +$3.9K | 2 | +$11.2K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $12.8K | $22.4K | $17.6K | $-4583 | 92 | $-9410 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open No· $3.8K | $23.2K | $18.4K | $-4000 | 136 | $-8796 |
Iran leadership change by April 30? ●open No· $7.8K | $7.1K | $0 | +$750 | 1 | $-6350 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? ●open Yes· $4.2K | $4.8K | $0 | $-815 | 7 | $-5636 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ●open No· $1.8K | $6.0K | $12.1K | $-800 | 47 | +$5.3K |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? ●open Yes· $2.0K | $3.0K | $0 | $-975 | 3 | $-3925 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? ●open No· $3.5K | $3.4K | $0 | +$63 | 4 | $-3370 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? ●open No· $11.9K | $3.8K | $0 | +$421 | 12 | $-3344 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ●open No· $2.5K | $7.7K | $5.0K | +$31 | 19 | $-2746 |
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30? ●open No· $1.7K | $1.5K | $0 | +$198 | 3 | $-1261 |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? ●open Yes· $843 | $864 | $0 | $-21 | 29 | $-884 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? ●open Yes· $50 | $86 | $0 | $-37 | 5 | $-123 |
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23? ●open Yes· $671 | $25 | $0 | +$85 | 2 | +$60 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) ●open Michigan Wolverines· $483 | $260 | $0 | +$224 | 1 | $-36 |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats ● closed | $0 | $3.0K | — | 0 | +$3.0K |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies ● closed | $1.2K | $0 | — | 11 | $-1180 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies ● closed | $0 | $996 | — | 0 | +$996 |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5) ● closed | $0 | $996 | — | 0 | +$996 |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5) ● closed | $0 | $996 | — | 0 | +$996 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils ● closed | $840 | $0 | — | 2 | $-840 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators ● closed | $0 | $708 | — | 1 | +$708 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ● closed | $14.0K | $13.4K | — | 31 | $-576 |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats ● closed | $1.4K | $2.0K | — | 2 | +$571 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines ● closed | $570 | $0 | — | 9 | $-570 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes ● closed | $1.5K | $2.0K | — | 2 | +$531 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5) ● closed | $470 | $999 | — | 2 | +$529 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks ● closed | $0 | $508 | — | 0 | +$508 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers ● closed | $0 | $498 | — | 0 | +$498 |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5) ● closed | $490 | $0 | — | 1 | $-490 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5) ● closed | $460 | $0 | — | 9 | $-460 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5) ● closed | $540 | $996 | — | 1 | +$456 |
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5) ● closed | $306 | $649 | — | 4 | +$344 |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers ● closed | $563 | $749 | — | 4 | +$185 |
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5) ● closed | $171 | $329 | — | 2 | +$158 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $153 | — | 1 | +$153 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats ● closed | $151 | $193 | — | 5 | +$42 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $1.7K | $1.7K | — | 8 | +$20 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5) ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5) ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5) ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (14)
Trading Activity · 90d
4 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$103.4K33%2/6
Sports
$9.3K72%13/18
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
4 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
7 betsunresolved0/0
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