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Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: PistonsLiquidity: $712.6KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Wizards vs. Pistons
100.0¢
Pistons payout
0.0¢
Wizards payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pistons · $324.4K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$362.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPistons$302.7K@ 49¢·googleplay

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pistons. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-10 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 10 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Wizards and Pistons, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05635 linked markets · $85.8K gross
mooseborzoi12 linked markets · $64.0K gross
ropetard4 linked markets · $57.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Pistons@ 49.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Pistons@ 49.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Pistons@ 49.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pistons; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWizards · $40.2K
6hPistons · $327.5K
24hPistons · $327.5K

Pistons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pistons price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Pistons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h53.55¢▲ above by 46.5pp
VWAP 7d53.55¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pistons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$40.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$11
70¢
$261
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$37.4K
45¢
$384.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPistons$40.0K@ 99.9¢
ch27er0x61a3…e508
🐋—2 days ago
BUYPistons$20.0K@ 50.0¢
ch27er0x61a3…e508
🐋—2 days ago
BUYPistons$36.8K@ 49.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—2 days ago
BUYPistons$10.1K@ 49.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—2 days ago
BUYPistons$302.7K@ 49.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

googleplayPistons$339.4K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiPistons$24.7K
BUY VWAP 48.93¢·5 fills
ch27erPistons$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.