PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune

● quote 172 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $168.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $863.7KEvent: BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune

Indicative prices · 172 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Miomir Kecmanovic
99.9¢
Holger Rune
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:245 trades$382.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 185 min agoofficial metadata 173 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Holger Rune · $85.6K net·18 wallets(2🐋)·$152.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHolger Rune$66.0K@ 92¢·999585

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$116.7K
tracked
$382.2K

18 verified profitable wallets: Holger Rune · $85.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest whale follow through: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 172 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 185 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 173 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Holger Rune in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Holger Rune. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $292 gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $197 gross
0x718c…b1d62 linked markets · $78 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Holger Rune@ 100.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWSELL Holger Rune@ 63.0¢4h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Holger Rune@ 94.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -38.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Holger Rune@ 93.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -37.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Miomir Kecmanovic DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $39.4K → $18.5K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miomir Kecmanovic; negative values favor Holger Rune. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiomir Kecmanovic · $0
6hHolger Rune · $116.7K
24hHolger Rune · $116.7K

Miomir Kecmanovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miomir Kecmanovic price. Holger Rune fills are converted to the complementary Miomir Kecmanovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.61¢▼ below by 25.5pp
VWAP 7d25.61¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Miomir Kecmanovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$9.8K
55¢
$27.6K
50¢
$6.9K
45¢
$14.1K
40¢
$28.1K
35¢
$67.6K
30¢
$34.1K
25¢
$22.7K
20¢
$6.9K
15¢
$6.1K
10¢
$12.1K
5¢
$94.7K
0¢
← now
$51.5K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHolger Rune$10.1K@ 62.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 4 hours ago
SELLHolger Rune$12.2K@ 62.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYHolger Rune$66.0K@ 92.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Holger Rune (-3.5) vs Miomir Kecmanovic (+3.5)
—$261priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kecmanovic vs. Rune: Match O/U 23.5
—$227priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
28.5¢$643.8Kpriority83Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
36.5¢$583.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.15¢$423.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lakers vs. Bucks
89.5¢$388.7Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch
—$312.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
48.5¢$279.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

999585Holger Rune$66.0K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill
LightParadoxHolger Rune$22.5K
BUY VWAP 64.57¢·11 fills
0x2c33…0563Holger Rune$16.3K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.