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Spread: Warriors (-11.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: WarriorsLiquidity: $125.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $281.0KEvent: Pelicans vs. Warriors
100.0¢
Warriors payout
0.0¢
Pelicans payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pelicans · $42.3K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$69.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPelicans$26.5K@ 52¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Warriors. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-10 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Warriors" if the Warriors win the game by 12 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Pelicans and Warriors, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Warriors" if the Warriors win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo6 linked markets · $129.1K gross
bigbeliever3 linked markets · $121.3K gross
0x2c33…05634 linked markets · $104.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pelicans@ 52.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -44.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Pelicans@ 52.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -37.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Warriors; negative values favor Pelicans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPelicans · $2.7K
6hPelicans · $101.3K
24hPelicans · $88.7K

Warriors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Warriors price. Pelicans fills are converted to the complementary Warriors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h49.79¢▲ above by 50.2pp
VWAP 7d49.79¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Warriors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.8K
90¢
$372
85¢
$34
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$2
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$114.0K
40¢
$6.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPelicans$26.5K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYPelicans$26.0K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYPelicans$24.6K@ 52.0¢
purplegatto0x032e…2a9e
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Pelicans$52.5K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·2 fills
purplegattoPelicans$24.6K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.