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Costa do Sauipe: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

● quote 347 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $72.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $187.0KEvent: Costa do Sauipe: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Indicative prices · 347 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.5¢
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
99.9¢
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution25Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:70 trades$56.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 367 min agoofficial metadata 347 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $2.2K net·3 wallets·$4.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo$12.9K@ 40¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$56.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 347 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 367 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 347 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Camilo Ugo Carabelli UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.8K → $730 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo; negative values favor Camilo Ugo Carabelli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $0
6hNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $0
24hNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $21.1K

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price. Camilo Ugo Carabelli fills are converted to the complementary Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.5¢
VWAP 24h30.99¢▼ below by 30.5pp
VWAP 7d30.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$2.5K
50¢
$3.8K
45¢
$7.2K
40¢
$17.6K
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$164
25¢
$1
20¢
$5
15¢
$9.6K
10¢
$65
5¢
$5.2K
0¢
← now
$7.3K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo$12.9K@ 40.45¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo$12.9K
BUY VWAP 40.45¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.