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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $85.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $344.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

98.9¢
MOUZ
1.1¢
PARIVISION
0.2¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution96Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:97 trades$186.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $2.1K net·3 wallets·$2.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ$120.9K@ 76¢·qiu3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

MOUZ pressure: $5.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.8K
6h
+$144.9K
tracked
$186.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: MOUZ · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.2¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +23.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 23.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from MOUZ or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against PARIVISION.

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between MOUZ and PARIVISION in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 21h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
redvinny2 linked markets · $17.6K gross
lllllllIlll2 linked markets · $13.8K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $10.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 76.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp
Latest book event: MOUZ UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $7.1K → $5.1K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor PARIVISION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $5.8K
6hMOUZ · $144.9K
24hMOUZ · $146.0K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. PARIVISION fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.9¢
VWAP 24h77.42¢▲ above by 21.5pp
VWAP 7d77.42¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.7K
90¢
$12.0K
85¢
$2.4K
80¢
$185
75¢
$169.3K
70¢
$72
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$120.9K@ 76.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner
96.5¢$157.9Kpriority85Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
97.0¢$107.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
3.5¢$5.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)
50.5¢$4.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
49.0¢$288priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs PARIVISION (+9.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

qiu3MOUZ$120.9K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.