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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $102.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $775.9KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

96.5¢
Antonia Ruzic
3.5¢
Alina Charaeva
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:235 trades$331.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Antonia Ruzic · $2.3K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$25.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAntonia Ruzic$45.2K@ 60¢·Mastermoney

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Alina Charaeva pressure: $16.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$16.5K
6h
+$20.3K
tracked
$331.3K

10 verified profitable wallets: Antonia Ruzic · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 46

Since latest large flow: +41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 41.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alina Charaeva or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Antonia Ruzic and Alina Charaeva in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antonia Ruzic' if Antonia Ruzic advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Antonia Ruzic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
DCAAA2 linked markets · $57 gross
0xd9c9…66862 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Antonia Ruzic41m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alina Charaeva56m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Antonia Ruzic@ 56.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +30.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alina Charaeva@ 61.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -25.0pp
Latest book event: Alina Charaeva DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $14.7K → $6.4K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Antonia Ruzic; negative values favor Alina Charaeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlina Charaeva · $16.5K
6hAntonia Ruzic · $20.3K
24hAntonia Ruzic · $33.1K

Antonia Ruzic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Antonia Ruzic price. Alina Charaeva fills are converted to the complementary Antonia Ruzic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current96.5¢
VWAP 24h49.26¢▲ above by 47.2pp
VWAP 7d49.26¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Antonia Ruzic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$1.5K
85¢
$181
80¢
$4
75¢
$15.8K
70¢
$3.1K
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$29.5K
55¢
$60.7K
50¢
$60.3K
45¢
$41.1K
40¢
$41.8K
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$49.5K
25¢
$19.6K
20¢
$4.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAntonia Ruzic$15.0K@ 59.88¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAntonia Ruzic$45.2K@ 59.76¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAntonia Ruzic$16.8K@ 62.33¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAlina Charaeva$18.6K@ 59.0¢0x044c…2d6c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlina Charaeva$42.2K@ 69.0¢0x044c…2d6c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAntonia Ruzic$10.7K@ 52.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 13 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Ruzic vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5
99.5¢$8.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva
76.5¢$937priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Antonia Ruzic vs. Alina Charaeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
24.0¢$110priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ruzic vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 23.5
35.0¢$56priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ruzic vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ruzic vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 22.5
73.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alina Charaeva (-1.5) vs Antonia Ruzic (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ruzic vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MastermoneyAntonia Ruzic$77.0K
BUY VWAP 60.33¢·3 fills
0x044c…2d6cAlina Charaeva$42.2K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
robustmstAlina Charaeva$37.0K
BUY VWAP 39.37¢·12 fills
LimousinAlina Charaeva$13.1K
BUY VWAP 50.50¢·10 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighAntonia Ruzic$12.5K
BUY VWAP 46.56¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Antonia Ruzic$10.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.