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Set Handicap: Ugo Humbert (-1.5) vs Botic van de Zandschulp (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Botic van de Zandschulp.Liquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.5KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
0.0¢
Ugo Humbert payout
100.0¢
Botic van de Zandschulp. payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$121 trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 126 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Botic van de Zandschulp.. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-09 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ugo Humbert" if Ugo Humbert wins by 2 or more sets than Botic van de Zandschulp, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Botic van de Zandschulp."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ugo Humbert can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Botic van de Zandschulp."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ugo Humbert" if Ugo Humbert wins by 2 or more sets than Botic van de Zandschulp, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Botic van de Zandschulp." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ugo Humbert can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Botic van de Zandschulp." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 13m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 13m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbf2b…fb883 linked markets · $681 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ugo Humbert; negative values favor Botic van de Zandschulp.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUgo Humbert · $0
6hUgo Humbert · $121
24hUgo Humbert · $121

Ugo Humbert price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ugo Humbert price. Botic van de Zandschulp. fills are converted to the complementary Ugo Humbert probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h53.25¢▼ below by 53.3pp
VWAP 7d53.13¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ugo Humbert price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$100
50¢
$0
45¢
$21
40¢
$0
35¢
$1
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.