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Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $266.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $653.1KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

62.5¢
Ugo Humbert
37.5¢
Botic van de Zandschulp
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets75Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:139 trades$194.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ugo Humbert · $38.8K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$51.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$12.8K@ 35¢·Eztennis

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ugo Humbert pressure: $10.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.4K
6h
+$53.1K
tracked
$194.7K

13 verified profitable wallets: Ugo Humbert · $38.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 47 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ugo Humbert or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Ugo Humbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbf2b…fb883 linked markets · $681 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Ugo Humbert@ 66.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -33.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Ugo Humbert UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $99.9K → $46.7K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ugo Humbert; negative values favor Botic van de Zandschulp. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUgo Humbert · $10.4K
6hUgo Humbert · $53.1K
24hUgo Humbert · $53.2K

Ugo Humbert price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ugo Humbert price. Botic van de Zandschulp fills are converted to the complementary Ugo Humbert probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current62.5¢
VWAP 24h62.88¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d62.86¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ugo Humbert price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$11.1K
75¢
$34.2K
70¢
$1.7K
65¢
$36.5K
60¢
← now
$54.7K
55¢
$32.0K
50¢
$5.5K
45¢
$2.2K
40¢
$4.3K
35¢
$10.7K
30¢
$3.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUgo Humbert$11.8K@ 75.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$12.8K@ 34.71¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
0.05¢$4.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Ugo Humbert (-1.5) vs Botic van de Zandschulp (+1.5)
0.05¢$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ugo Humbert vs. Botic van de Zandschulp: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.55¢$288priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Ugo Humbert (-1.5) vs Botic van de Zandschulp (+1.5)
60.5¢$75priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Humbert vs. Zandschulp: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Humbert vs. Zandschulp: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Humbert vs. Zandschulp: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
49.85¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Ugo Humbert$20.4K
BUY VWAP 70.44¢·2 fills
LightParadoxBotic van de Zandschulp$19.8K
BUY VWAP 49.80¢·9 fills
EztennisBotic van de Zandschulp$12.8K
BUY VWAP 34.71¢·1 fill
kkookkooUgo Humbert$11.8K
BUY VWAP 58.30¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.