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Cavaliers vs. Knicks

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 32 minutesLiquidity: $328.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $878.1KEvent: Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

52.5¢
Cavaliers
47.5¢
Knicks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:249 trades$403.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cavaliers · $3.0K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$34.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKnicks$195.5K@ 66¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Cavaliers pressure: $6.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.1K
6h
−$261.5K
tracked
$403.1K

9 verified profitable wallets: Cavaliers · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 45

Since latest large flow: -19.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cavaliers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

•If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Knicks, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $213.1K gross
VeryLucky8887 linked markets · $90.9K gross
quavoo8 linked markets · $55.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Knicks@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -18.0pp
Latest book event: Knicks DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $16.2K → $2.7K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cavaliers; negative values favor Knicks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCavaliers · $6.1K
6hKnicks · $261.5K
24hKnicks · $216.5K

Cavaliers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cavaliers price. Knicks fills are converted to the complementary Cavaliers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h35.5¢▲ above by 17.0pp
VWAP 7d35.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cavaliers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$3.0K
45¢
$384
40¢
$17.4K
35¢
$137.6K
30¢
$244.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCavaliers$16.7K@ 37.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYKnicks$195.5K@ 66.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKnicks$12.5K@ 62.0¢
Eugycom0x64ce…6015
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYCavaliers$10.3K@ 38.0¢
Wal10xa5aa…9134
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Knicks$204.8K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·2 fills
Wal1Cavaliers$19.7K
BUY VWAP 37.57¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Cavaliers$16.8K
BUY VWAP 36.99¢·2 fills
EugycomKnicks$12.5K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
quavooKnicks$11.5K
BUY VWAP 65.90¢·6 fills
LimousinCavaliers$11.4K
BUY VWAP 35.93¢·2 fills
betabotKnicks$10.7K
BUY VWAP 65.22¢·3 fills
quavooCavaliers$10.2K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.