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Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lilli TaggerLiquidity: $760.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $584.7KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
100.0¢
Lilli Tagger payout
0.0¢
Han Shi payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:227 trades$178.7K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 75 min agoofficial metadata 54 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lilli Tagger · $21.3K net·14 wallets·$72.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHan Shi$10.0K@ 64¢·horrocrux

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lilli Tagger. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-06 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Han Shi in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 54m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 54m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
horrocrux2 linked markets · $15.0K gross
kitopesivan2 linked markets · $50 gross
0x45dd…b62b2 linked markets · $24 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lilli Tagger2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Lilli Tagger@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +32.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Han Shi@ 48.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -34.0pp
Latest book event: Lilli Tagger UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $499 → $64 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lilli Tagger; negative values favor Han Shi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHan Shi · $2.2K
6hHan Shi · $24.9K
24hHan Shi · $18.3K

Lilli Tagger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lilli Tagger price. Han Shi fills are converted to the complementary Lilli Tagger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.16¢▲ above by 34.8pp
VWAP 7d65.16¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lilli Tagger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.4K
90¢
$3.4K
85¢
$6.8K
80¢
$11.5K
75¢
$11.3K
70¢
$25.9K
65¢
$25.5K
60¢
$38.6K
55¢
$4.5K
50¢
$15.8K
45¢
$1.6K
40¢
$2.8K
35¢
$15.7K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$11
20¢
$3.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHan Shi$10.0K@ 64.2¢
horrocrux0xa31c…bdf7
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cHan Shi$18.8K
BUY VWAP 35.25¢·5 fills
HomeRunHazardLilli Tagger$11.2K
BUY VWAP 54.44¢·7 fills
HVABLilli Tagger$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
horrocruxHan Shi$10.0K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.