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Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: PelicansLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $15.5KEvent: Kings vs. Pelicans
100.0¢
Pelicans payout
0.0¢
Kings payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:19 trades$1.8K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 806 min agoofficial metadata 779 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kings · $66 net·4 wallets·$1.5K gross

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pelicans. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-30 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pelicans" if the Pelicans win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 29 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pelicans" if the Pelicans win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
dhgreg3 linked markets · $219.7K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh5 linked markets · $100.0K gross
mooseborzoi10 linked markets · $49.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pelicans; negative values favor Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPelicans · $702
6hKings · $36
24hKings · $155

Pelicans price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pelicans price. Kings fills are converted to the complementary Pelicans probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.93¢▲ above by 38.1pp
VWAP 7d61.93¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pelicans price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$609
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$64
60¢
$61
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$950
40¢
$195
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.