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Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot

● quote 960 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $414.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $210.1KEvent: Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot

Indicative prices · 960 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Susan Bandecchi
99.9¢
Elsa Jacquemot
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:113 trades$64.8K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 984 min agoofficial metadata 961 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elsa Jacquemot · $2.1K net·9 wallets·$6.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLElsa Jacquemot$9.7K@ 100¢·alaskabaked

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$64.8K

9 verified profitable wallets: Elsa Jacquemot · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 960 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 984 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 961 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Susan Bandecchi and Elsa Jacquemot in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Susan Bandecchi' if Susan Bandecchi advances against Elsa Jacquemot. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Susan Bandecchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Elsa Jacquemot UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $19.4K → $1.5K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Susan Bandecchi; negative values favor Elsa Jacquemot. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSusan Bandecchi · $0
6hSusan Bandecchi · $0
24hSusan Bandecchi · $9.1K

Susan Bandecchi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Susan Bandecchi price. Elsa Jacquemot fills are converted to the complementary Susan Bandecchi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h26.34¢▼ below by 26.2pp
VWAP 7d26.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Susan Bandecchi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$57
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.2K
50¢
$11.6K
45¢
$5.8K
40¢
$3.7K
35¢
$4.8K
30¢
$110
25¢
$4.8K
20¢
$3.6K
15¢
$3.0K
10¢
$2.0K
5¢
$3.1K
0¢
← now
$19.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.