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Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Berrettini

Sports→TennisSettlement: Matteo BerrettiniLiquidity: $230.5KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Berrettini
0.0¢
Flavio Cobolli payout
100.0¢
Matteo Berrettini payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matteo Berrettini · $51.2K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$102.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlavio Cobolli$11.7K@ 42¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matteo Berrettini. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Matteo Berrettini in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $80 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Flavio Cobolli; negative values favor Matteo Berrettini. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatteo Berrettini · $76.8K
6hMatteo Berrettini · $53.0K
24hMatteo Berrettini · $57.8K

Flavio Cobolli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Flavio Cobolli price. Matteo Berrettini fills are converted to the complementary Flavio Cobolli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h27.45¢▼ below by 27.5pp
VWAP 7d27.48¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Flavio Cobolli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$27.4K
45¢
$4.6K
40¢
$17.0K
35¢
$773
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$3.2K
20¢
$45.1K
15¢
$36.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$11.0K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMatteo Berrettini$11.0K@ 82.42¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—3 days ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$11.7K@ 42.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cMatteo Berrettini$23.1K
BUY VWAP 81.32¢·6 fills
dmoralezMatteo Berrettini$23.0K
BUY VWAP 75.53¢·14 fills
SharkVisionMatteo Berrettini$22.6K
BUY VWAP 81.51¢·5 fills
0x076d…8d4cFlavio Cobolli$19.6K
BUY VWAP 44.90¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.