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Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $736.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $475.5KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Polymarket indicative prices · 2 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0.05¢
Miomir Kecmanovic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:174 trades$130.8K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 42s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miomir Kecmanovic · $14.7K net·17 wallets·$26.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiomir Kecmanovic$9.7K@ 39¢·Luzzzer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Miomir Kecmanovic pressure: $12.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.0K
6h
−$57.0K
tracked
$130.8K

17 verified profitable wallets: Miomir Kecmanovic · $14.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miomir Kecmanovic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $7.3K gross
0x6f70…862a2 linked markets · $104 gross
yeagerist2 linked markets · $75 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Miomir Kecmanovic DOWN 27.5pp · near-book depth $82 → $913 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Juan Manuel Cerundolo; negative values favor Miomir Kecmanovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiomir Kecmanovic · $12.0K
6hMiomir Kecmanovic · $57.0K
24hMiomir Kecmanovic · $60.0K

Juan Manuel Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Juan Manuel Cerundolo price. Miomir Kecmanovic fills are converted to the complementary Juan Manuel Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h60.78¢▲ above by 39.2pp
VWAP 7d60.78¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Juan Manuel Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$310
90¢
$0
85¢
$11.6K
80¢
$275
75¢
$11.6K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$35.0K
55¢
$37.8K
50¢
$21.3K
45¢
$6.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$5.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cMiomir Kecmanovic$19.6K
BUY VWAP 32.73¢·6 fills
LuzzzerMiomir Kecmanovic$17.5K
BUY VWAP 43.22¢·2 fills
kkookkooMiomir Kecmanovic$10.0K
BUY VWAP 41.84¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.