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Spread: Steelers (-3.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 17 minutesLiquidity: $40.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $930.8KEvent: Browns vs. Steelers

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢
Steelers
50.5¢
Browns
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection45Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution47Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:54 trades$458.4K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Steelers · $24.8K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$35.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSteelers$306.0K@ 51¢·justwins

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Steelers SETUP
What the tape says

Steelers pressure: $207.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$207.1K
6h
+$222.7K
tracked
$458.4K

7 verified profitable wallets: Steelers · $24.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 56

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Steelers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Steelers" if the Steelers win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Browns".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Browns and Steelers, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Steelers" if the Steelers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Browns". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $37.8K gross
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN2 linked markets · $29.6K gross
beautifulobsession2 linked markets · $20.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Browns@ 50.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Steelers@ 51.0¢57m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Steelers DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.3K → $1.5K · 106s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Steelers; negative values favor Browns. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSteelers · $207.1K
6hSteelers · $222.7K
24hSteelers · $220.4K

Steelers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Steelers price. Browns fills are converted to the complementary Steelers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h50.71¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d50.56¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Steelers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4
50¢
$455.1K
45¢
← now
$35.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBrowns$10.0K@ 50.0¢
beautifulobsession0x0b0e…4826
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYBrowns$25.0K@ 50.0¢
sinasinner0x8a26…73c3
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYBrowns$27.0K@ 50.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBrowns$37.0K@ 50.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSteelers$306.0K@ 51.0¢
justwins0xa2cc…0cbc
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSteelers$11.2K@ 51.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

justwinsSteelers$306.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaBrowns$64.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
sinasinnerBrowns$25.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANSteelers$15.8K
BUY VWAP 50.40¢·2 fills
beautifulobsessionBrowns$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.