Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-2.5) vs Holger Rune (+2.5)

● quote 13 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $17.6KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune

Indicative prices · 13 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Hubert Hurkacz
99.9¢
Holger Rune
—
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets0execution0priority0data 59%
24h sample:3 trades$6.4K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 172 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHubert Hurkacz$4.4K@ 44¢·HBAFlover98

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$4.4K
tracked
$6.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote is 13 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 172 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Hubert Hurkacz" if Hubert Hurkacz wins 2.5 or more total games than Holger Rune in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Holger Rune".

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Hubert Hurkacz could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Holger Rune".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Hubert Hurkacz" if Hubert Hurkacz wins 2.5 or more total games than Holger Rune in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Holger Rune". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Hubert Hurkacz could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Holger Rune". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xce6b…60b72 linked markets · $1.3K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $61 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecyclediscovery

Signed Order Flow

1hHubert Hurkacz · $0
6hHubert Hurkacz · $4.4K
24hHubert Hurkacz · $2.3K

Hubert Hurkacz price VWAP

Current—
VWAP 24h44.97¢
VWAP 7d44.97¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Hubert Hurkacz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.1K
40¢
$4.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.