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Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $267.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $541.1KEvent: Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
GamerLegion
0.05¢
LEGION
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection49Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:141 trades$172.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:GamerLegion · $42.9K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$45.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGamerLegion$16.7K@ 70¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

GamerLegion pressure: $84.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$84.3K
6h
+$91.3K
tracked
$172.7K

14 verified profitable wallets: GamerLegion · $42.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from GamerLegion or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 02:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against LEGION.

•This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win Game 2 against GamerLegion.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between GamerLegion and LEGION in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against LEGION. This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win Game 2 against GamerLegion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 7h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
liriks2 linked markets · $88.9K gross
0xf3ce…a57a2 linked markets · $50.2K gross
yanedaniil2 linked markets · $29.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY GamerLegion33m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY GamerLegion@ 85.0¢47m ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp
Latest book event: GamerLegion UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $10.4K → $11.2K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor GamerLegion; negative values favor LEGION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGamerLegion · $84.3K
6hGamerLegion · $91.3K
24hGamerLegion · $91.3K

GamerLegion price VWAP

Volume-weighted GamerLegion price. LEGION fills are converted to the complementary GamerLegion probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h74.72¢▲ above by 25.2pp
VWAP 7d74.72¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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GamerLegion price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.6K
90¢
$12.1K
85¢
$13.5K
80¢
$3.3K
75¢
$15.9K
70¢
$20.8K
65¢
$48.3K
60¢
$21.9K
55¢
$15.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGamerLegion$16.7K@ 69.65¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLEGION$10.0K@ 43.29¢
TopStreamer0xdced…c799
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf3ce…a57aGamerLegion$28.9K
BUY VWAP 71.30¢·3 fills
yanedaniilGamerLegion$14.0K
BUY VWAP 71.78¢·3 fills
TopStreamerLEGION$11.8K
BUY VWAP 33.62¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.