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Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $135.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $845.5KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

96.5¢
Novak Djokovic
3.5¢
Ugo Humbert
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:289 trades$351.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Novak Djokovic · $27.1K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$92.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNovak Djokovic$34.3K@ 82¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Novak Djokovic pressure: $44.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$44.1K
6h
+$44.6K
tracked
$351.9K

14 verified profitable wallets: Novak Djokovic · $27.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 53

Since latest market sweep: +5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Novak Djokovic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Ugo Humbert in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Novak Djokovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x8a43…30da2 linked markets · $9.1K gross
kitopesivan2 linked markets · $131 gross
0xbfd7…f0bf2 linked markets · $76 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Novak Djokovic@ 92.0¢23m ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Novak Djokovic@ 70.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Novak Djokovic UP 10.0pp · near-book depth $7.7K → $15.6K · 17s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Novak Djokovic; negative values favor Ugo Humbert. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNovak Djokovic · $44.1K
6hNovak Djokovic · $44.6K
24hNovak Djokovic · $42.1K

Novak Djokovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Novak Djokovic price. Ugo Humbert fills are converted to the complementary Novak Djokovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current96.5¢
VWAP 24h68.52¢▲ above by 28.0pp
VWAP 7d68.59¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Novak Djokovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.9K
90¢
$78.6K
85¢
$3.9K
80¢
$36.8K
75¢
$19.4K
70¢
$46.2K
65¢
$39.9K
60¢
$11.4K
55¢
$11.4K
50¢
$28.3K
45¢
$29.7K
40¢
$21.2K
35¢
$7.2K
30¢
$21.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNovak Djokovic$34.3K@ 82.36¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYNovak Djokovic$21.6K@ 69.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesNovak Djokovic$58.0K
BUY VWAP 88.02¢·21 fills
UpTheBluesUgo Humbert$32.9K
BUY VWAP 39.44¢·23 fills
ferrariChampions2026Novak Djokovic$21.6K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
robustmstNovak Djokovic$19.4K
BUY VWAP 46.66¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardUgo Humbert$19.3K
BUY VWAP 59.87¢·11 fills
FlaznorpNovak Djokovic$11.2K
BUY VWAP 81.04¢·3 fills
jtwyslljyNovak Djokovic$10.4K
BUY VWAP 51.96¢·2 fills
jtwyslljyUgo Humbert$10.1K
BUY VWAP 66.83¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.