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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

● quote 33 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $435.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $974.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Indicative prices · 33 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Liquid
99.9¢
FURIA
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:218 trades$406.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 34 min agoofficial metadata 35 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liquid · $52.4K net·9 wallets(2🐋)·$68.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA$159.8K@ 74¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Liquid pressure: $25.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.3K
6h
+$91.8K
tracked
$406.3K

9 verified profitable wallets: Liquid · $52.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 33 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 34 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 35 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 19:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against FURIA.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Liquid and FURIA in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $175.3K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $73.7K gross
1337zzz13372 linked markets · $57.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 75.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -15.0pp
Latest book event: FURIA UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $4.4K → $10.5K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liquid; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiquid · $25.3K
6hLiquid · $91.8K
24hFURIA · $92.2K

Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liquid price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.69¢▼ below by 21.6pp
VWAP 7d21.69¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.6K
30¢
$1.0K
25¢
$295.5K
20¢
$16.9K
15¢
$27.7K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$3.8K
0¢
← now
$57.4K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFURIA$14.3K@ 99.9¢
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLFURIA$11.4K@ 83.0¢
kahe0x88d1…18da
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLiquid$14.0K@ 28.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLiquid$10.0K@ 28.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLiquid$43.3K@ 26.89¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYFURIA$159.8K@ 74.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 8 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111FURIA$159.8K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
juice-fruitLiquid$43.3K
BUY VWAP 26.89¢·1 fill
CORGI8Liquid$20.6K
BUY VWAP 27.67¢·2 fills
aaaa298FURIA$14.6K
BUY VWAP 81.25¢·6 fills
0xc9bf…81c0FURIA$14.4K
BUY VWAP 74.22¢·4 fills
fantasy7788Liquid$10.0K
BUY VWAP 28.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.