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Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong

● quote 83 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $115.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $155.5KEvent: Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong

Indicative prices · 83 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Alibek Kachmazov
99.9¢
Seong-Chan Hong
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:120 trades$47.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 83 min agoofficial metadata 85 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alibek Kachmazov · $5.2K net·8 wallets·$5.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSeong-Chan Hong$20.5K@ 100¢·0x6982…a165

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$22.2K
tracked
$47.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Alibek Kachmazov · $5.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 83 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 83 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 85 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Seong-Chan Hong in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Seong-Chan Hong. This market will resolve to 'Seong-Chan Hong' if Seong-Chan Hong advances against Alibek Kachmazov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Alibek Kachmazov DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $372 · 72s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alibek Kachmazov; negative values favor Seong-Chan Hong. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlibek Kachmazov · $0
6hAlibek Kachmazov · $22.2K
24hAlibek Kachmazov · $22.2K

Alibek Kachmazov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alibek Kachmazov price. Seong-Chan Hong fills are converted to the complementary Alibek Kachmazov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h19.46¢▼ below by 19.4pp
VWAP 7d19.48¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alibek Kachmazov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$4.9K
70¢
$279
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$2.3K
50¢
$308
45¢
$445
40¢
$3.8K
35¢
$37
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$42
10¢
$61
5¢
$1.0K
0¢
← now
$31.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSeong-Chan Hong$20.5K@ 99.9¢0x6982…a165🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.