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Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova

Sports→TennisSettlement: Mia PohankovaLiquidity: $178.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $484.1KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova
0.0¢
Naomi Osaka payout
100.0¢
Mia Pohankova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:197 trades$197.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mia Pohankova · $1.7K net·9 wallets·$22.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMia Pohankova$21.7K@ 100¢·robustmst

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mia Pohankova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-04 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Mia Pohankova in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Mia Pohankova. This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Naomi Osaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x70dc…1dfd2 linked markets · $7.2K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5.8K gross
thanhtam862 linked markets · $1.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mia Pohankova@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Naomi Osaka@ 80.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Mia Pohankova UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $3.5K → $1.2K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Naomi Osaka; negative values favor Mia Pohankova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNaomi Osaka · $25.2K
6hNaomi Osaka · $31.3K
24hNaomi Osaka · $32.9K

Naomi Osaka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Naomi Osaka price. Mia Pohankova fills are converted to the complementary Naomi Osaka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h44.34¢▼ below by 44.3pp
VWAP 7d44.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Naomi Osaka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$8.0K
80¢
$32.1K
75¢
$1.7K
70¢
$96
65¢
$154
60¢
$1.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$22.0K
45¢
$16.5K
40¢
$61.0K
35¢
$11.1K
30¢
$4.2K
25¢
$6.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$33.2K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMia Pohankova$21.7K@ 99.9¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYMia Pohankova$16.8K@ 58.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMia Pohankova$10.0K@ 46.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNaomi Osaka$17.2K@ 80.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnMia Pohankova$22.6K
BUY VWAP 57.99¢·2 fills
tennischampNaomi Osaka$17.2K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
robustmstMia Pohankova$10.0K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.