PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)

● quote 27s ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: 2 daysLiquidity: $141.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.8KEvent: LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

Indicative prices · 27s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

59.5¢
T1
40.5¢
Movistar KOI
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly5Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$35.0K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1$26.0K@ 59¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$50
6h
+$31.5K
tracked
$35.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: T1 · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 53 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 2 or more games than Movistar KOI in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Movistar KOI".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Movistar KOI and T1 in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 2 or more games than Movistar KOI in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Movistar KOI". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $57.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 60.0¢52m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor Movistar KOI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $50
6hT1 · $31.5K
24hT1 · $28.0K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. Movistar KOI fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h59.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d59.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.4K
55¢
← now
$32.6K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYT1$26.0K@ 59.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
14.5¢$64.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
—$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
9.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse
—$587.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov
—$524.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev
—$510.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
90.7¢$477.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
—$445.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111T1$26.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.