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Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

● quote 688 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $215.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $445.4KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Indicative prices · 688 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Ben Shelton
0.1¢
Aleksandar Kovacevic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:158 trades$118.4K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 697 min agoofficial metadata 687 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ben Shelton · $9.4K net·9 wallets·$14.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBen Shelton$10.0K@ 100¢·0xc1a9…e2db

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$118.4K

9 verified profitable wallets: Ben Shelton · $9.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 688 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 697 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 687 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Aleksandar Kovacevic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Kovacevic' if Aleksandar Kovacevic advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbf2b…fb882 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Ben Shelton UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $43.6K → $127 · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ben Shelton; negative values favor Aleksandar Kovacevic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBen Shelton · $0
6hBen Shelton · $0
24hBen Shelton · $7.6K

Ben Shelton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ben Shelton price. Aleksandar Kovacevic fills are converted to the complementary Ben Shelton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h75.88¢▲ above by 24.0pp
VWAP 7d75.88¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ben Shelton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$31.4K
90¢
$1.7K
85¢
$3
80¢
$27.7K
75¢
$11.3K
70¢
$5.6K
65¢
$9.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$145
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$24.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesBen Shelton$10.8K
BUY VWAP 67.42¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.