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Iowa vs. Northwestern

Sports→American FootballSettlement: IowaLiquidity: $509.4KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Iowa vs. Northwestern
100.0¢
Iowa payout
0.0¢
Northwestern payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iowa · $241.4K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$302.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIowa$241.1K@ 100¢·Sisyphus.

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iowa. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-08 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Northwestern, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $14.7K gross
lightotunnel352 linked markets · $9.5K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $9.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Northwestern@ 42.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -11.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Northwestern@ 42.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Northwestern@ 42.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iowa; negative values favor Northwestern. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIowa · $242.9K
6hIowa · $229.4K
24hIowa · $233.0K

Iowa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iowa price. Northwestern fills are converted to the complementary Iowa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.21¢▲ above by 21.8pp
VWAP 7d77.58¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iowa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$247.2K
90¢
$39.2K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$0
60¢
$138.8K
55¢
$188.6K
50¢
$49
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIowa$241.1K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—4 days ago
BUYIowa$15.3K@ 61.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYIowa$15.3K@ 61.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYIowa$26.4K@ 61.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYIowa$15.3K@ 61.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYIowa$15.3K@ 61.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYIowa$45.8K@ 61.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—4 days ago
BUYNorthwestern$33.5K@ 42.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—4 days ago
BUYNorthwestern$31.1K@ 42.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—4 days ago
BUYNorthwestern$11.0K@ 42.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—4 days ago
BUYNorthwestern$32.1K@ 42.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—4 days ago
BUYIowa$13.5K@ 55.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.Iowa$241.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketNorthwestern$152.9K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·19 fills
surfandturfIowa$137.2K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·7 fills
999585Iowa$19.6K
BUY VWAP 90.11¢·6 fills
iDARKenjoyerNorthwestern$14.7K
BUY VWAP 10.0¢·3 fills
bands1Iowa$13.5K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.