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Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Rebeka Masarova

● quote 903 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $66.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $137.9KEvent: Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Rebeka Masarova

Indicative prices · 903 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Julia Riera
0.5¢
Rebeka Masarova
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution24Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:53 trades$71.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 909 min agoofficial metadata 904 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Julia Riera · $11.2K net·2 wallets·$13.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRebeka Masarova$26.2K@ 66¢·0x8699…7bb2

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$71.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Julia Riera · $11.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 903 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 909 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 904 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Riera and Rebeka Masarova in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Riera' if Julia Riera advances against Rebeka Masarova. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masarova' if Rebeka Masarova advances against Julia Riera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Rebeka Masarova16h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Rebeka Masarova@ 60.7¢16h ago
15m CONFIRMED +28.5pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASESELL Rebeka Masarova16h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPSELL Rebeka Masarova@ 68.4¢16h ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.7pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Julia Riera DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $24.4K → $26.2K · 17s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Julia Riera; negative values favor Rebeka Masarova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJulia Riera · $0
6hJulia Riera · $0
24hJulia Riera · $12.2K

Julia Riera price VWAP

Volume-weighted Julia Riera price. Rebeka Masarova fills are converted to the complementary Julia Riera probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h46.09¢▲ above by 53.8pp
VWAP 7d46.09¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Julia Riera price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$8
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$6
60¢
$81
55¢
$8
50¢
$0
45¢
$141
40¢
$43
35¢
$21
30¢
$55.3K
25¢
$49
20¢
$10
15¢
$130
10¢
$18
5¢
$448
0¢
$1

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRebeka Masarova$10.5K@ 69.51¢0x8699…7bb2🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYRebeka Masarova$26.2K@ 65.55¢0x8699…7bb2🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x8699…7bb2Rebeka Masarova$26.2K
BUY VWAP 65.55¢·1 fill
FlaznorpJulia Riera$12.4K
BUY VWAP 97.21¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.