PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Queretaro: Martina Colmegna vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska

● quote 817 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $384.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $126.6KEvent: Queretaro: Martina Colmegna vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska

Indicative prices · 817 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Martina Colmegna
0.1¢
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:49 trades$38.4K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 850 min agoofficial metadata 820 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Martina Colmegna · $64 net·3 wallets·$15.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMartina Colmegna$5.1K@ 46¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$38.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: Martina Colmegna · $64 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 817 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 850 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 820 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Colmegna and Zuzanna Pawlikowska in the Queretaro, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Zuzanna Pawlikowska. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Pawlikowska' if Zuzanna Pawlikowska advances against Martina Colmegna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Zuzanna Pawlikowska DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $568 → $5.4K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Martina Colmegna; negative values favor Zuzanna Pawlikowska. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMartina Colmegna · $0
6hMartina Colmegna · $0
24hZuzanna Pawlikowska · $12.3K

Martina Colmegna price VWAP

Volume-weighted Martina Colmegna price. Zuzanna Pawlikowska fills are converted to the complementary Martina Colmegna probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h45.31¢▲ above by 54.6pp
VWAP 7d45.31¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Martina Colmegna price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$34
90¢
$0
85¢
$39
80¢
$1.4K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$376
60¢
$384
55¢
$9.9K
50¢
$3.3K
45¢
$5.5K
40¢
$1.9K
35¢
$3.3K
30¢
$7.2K
25¢
$5.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Zuzanna Pawlikowska (-0.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+0.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
—$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
9.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse
—$587.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov
—$524.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev
—$510.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
90.7¢$477.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
—$445.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.