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Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets

● quote 11s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $249.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.8MEvent: Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets

Indicative prices · 11s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Dayana Yastremska
0.05¢
Katie Volynets
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection56Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:341 trades$782.8K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katie Volynets · $417.7K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$703.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKatie Volynets$29.4K@ 98¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Katie Volynets pressure: $440.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$440.1K
6h
−$456.1K
tracked
$782.8K

11 verified profitable wallets: Katie Volynets · $417.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest position change: -82.3pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Katie Volynets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Katie Volynets in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $257 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Katie Volynets38m ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Katie Volynets@ 82.4¢44m ago
15m INVALIDATED -31.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Katie Volynets1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Katie Volynets@ 77.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.2pp
Latest book event: Dayana Yastremska UP 26.5pp · near-book depth $42 → $145 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dayana Yastremska; negative values favor Katie Volynets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKatie Volynets · $440.1K
6hKatie Volynets · $456.1K
24hKatie Volynets · $454.6K

Dayana Yastremska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dayana Yastremska price. Katie Volynets fills are converted to the complementary Dayana Yastremska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h27.87¢▲ above by 72.1pp
VWAP 7d27.87¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dayana Yastremska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$8.8K
80¢
$2.2K
75¢
$24.0K
70¢
$4.7K
65¢
$14.6K
60¢
$112
55¢
$7.4K
50¢
$5
45¢
$52.8K
40¢
$51.6K
35¢
$61.2K
30¢
$77.6K
25¢
$24.1K
20¢
$71.9K
15¢
$213.7K
10¢
$30.9K
5¢
$67.8K
0¢
$60.5K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKatie Volynets$16.7K@ 51.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYKatie Volynets$11.2K@ 33.99¢0x1610…ae49🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYKatie Volynets$12.5K@ 62.85¢0x1610…ae49🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYKatie Volynets$13.8K@ 82.1¢0x1610…ae49🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYKatie Volynets$10.4K@ 92.9¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$13.8K@ 82.6¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$11.5K@ 90.84¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$12.4K@ 90.8¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$10.2K@ 90.7¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$14.6K@ 82.7¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$20.3K@ 82.73¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$18.5K@ 75.47¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$12.9K@ 75.5¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$20.2K@ 82.68¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$25.5K@ 82.9¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$16.0K@ 86.5¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$29.4K@ 98.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$20.7K@ 70.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$23.2K@ 80.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDayana Yastremska$10.5K@ 28.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$17.5K@ 56.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$10.4K@ 56.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDayana Yastremska$11.6K@ 40.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDayana Yastremska$26.6K@ 36.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Katie Volynets$494.9K
BUY VWAP 70.14¢·56 fills
0x1610…ae49Dayana Yastremska$107.8K
BUY VWAP 23.77¢·21 fills
FlaznorpKatie Volynets$42.0K
BUY VWAP 97.84¢·7 fills
UpTheBluesKatie Volynets$26.6K
BUY VWAP 74.58¢·16 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.