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Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann

● quote 135 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $103.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $358.3KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann

Indicative prices · 135 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Simona Waltert
99.9¢
Jil Teichmann
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$135.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 164 min agoofficial metadata 134 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Simona Waltert · $15.9K net·6 wallets·$16.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJil Teichmann$56.0K@ 100¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$30.6K
tracked
$135.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: Simona Waltert · $15.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +43.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 135 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 164 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 134 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Jil Teichmann in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Jil Teichmann. This market will resolve to 'Jil Teichmann' if Jil Teichmann advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jil Teichmann4h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jil Teichmann@ 57.0¢4h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Jil Teichmann@ 57.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.0pp
Latest book event: Simona Waltert DOWN 11.0pp · near-book depth $23.2K → $10.4K · 87s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Simona Waltert; negative values favor Jil Teichmann. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSimona Waltert · $0
6hSimona Waltert · $30.6K
24hSimona Waltert · $39.9K

Simona Waltert price VWAP

Volume-weighted Simona Waltert price. Jil Teichmann fills are converted to the complementary Simona Waltert probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h19.61¢▼ below by 19.5pp
VWAP 7d19.61¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Simona Waltert price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$132
65¢
$0
60¢
$220
55¢
$34
50¢
$30.6K
45¢
$9.4K
40¢
$2.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$17.2K
15¢
$1.4K
10¢
$57
5¢
$2.0K
0¢
← now
$70.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJil Teichmann$56.0K@ 99.9¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann
—$731priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Simona Waltert vs. Jil Teichmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$85priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Waltert vs. Teichmann: Match O/U 21.5
—$64priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Waltert vs. Teichmann: Match O/U 22.5
—$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Waltert vs. Teichmann: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Waltert vs. Teichmann: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Waltert vs. Teichmann: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Simona Waltert (-1.5) vs Jil Teichmann (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstJil Teichmann$27.4K
BUY VWAP 48.90¢·7 fills
0x1610…ae49Simona Waltert$15.9K
BUY VWAP 14.89¢·4 fills
dv-pmSimona Waltert$10.9K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.