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Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $175.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $587.8KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

78.5¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
21.5¢
Nikola Bartunkova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 24 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:293 trades$222.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nikola Bartunkova · $28.4K net·24 wallets(1🐋)·$129.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNikola Bartunkova$11.9K@ 64¢·Luzzzer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Nikola Bartunkova pressure: $67.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$67.3K
6h
−$20.0K
tracked
$222.6K

24 verified profitable wallets: Nikola Bartunkova · $28.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 59

Since latest large flow: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 8.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nikola Bartunkova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Nikola Bartunkova in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wingwingwin2 linked markets · $5.3K gross
neutralwave233 linked markets · $423 gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $203 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -14.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: Nikola Bartunkova DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $31.9K → $2.4K · 25s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich; negative values favor Nikola Bartunkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikola Bartunkova · $67.3K
6hNikola Bartunkova · $20.0K
24hNikola Bartunkova · $19.9K

Aliaksandra Sasnovich price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aliaksandra Sasnovich price. Nikola Bartunkova fills are converted to the complementary Aliaksandra Sasnovich probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current78.5¢
VWAP 24h57.43¢▲ above by 21.1pp
VWAP 7d57.19¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aliaksandra Sasnovich price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$43
80¢
$7.6K
75¢
← now
$23.5K
70¢
$5.2K
65¢
$32.8K
60¢
$16.2K
55¢
$35.7K
50¢
$35.0K
45¢
$39.7K
40¢
$14.4K
35¢
$14.7K
30¢
$80
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAliaksandra Sasnovich$10.1K@ 78.95¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNikola Bartunkova$11.9K@ 64.07¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Sasnovich vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 21.5
99.95¢$7.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova
0.05¢$6.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nikola Bartunkova (-3.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+3.5)
0.45¢$219priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 22.5
99.95¢$26priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Nikola Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 23.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Bartunkova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Bartunkova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesAliaksandra Sasnovich$34.3K
BUY VWAP 55.96¢·28 fills
0x1610…ae49Nikola Bartunkova$28.3K
BUY VWAP 39.15¢·7 fills
ferrariChampions2026Nikola Bartunkova$14.8K
BUY VWAP 37.63¢·6 fills
LuzzzerNikola Bartunkova$11.9K
BUY VWAP 64.07¢·1 fill
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseAliaksandra Sasnovich$11.8K
BUY VWAP 79.29¢·2 fills
KkunnNikola Bartunkova$11.3K
BUY VWAP 54.76¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Aliaksandra Sasnovich$10.6K
BUY VWAP 46.98¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.