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Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

● quote 221 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $84.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $379.9KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Indicative prices · 221 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

3.0¢
Ann Li
99.9¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution28Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:77 trades$209.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 247 min agoofficial metadata 222 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ekaterina Alexandrova · $19.4K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$25.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEkaterina Alexandrova$58.2K@ 100¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$6.0K
tracked
$209.4K

8 verified profitable wallets: Ekaterina Alexandrova · $19.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 221 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 247 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 222 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova4h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova@ 76.0¢5h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova5h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova@ 64.0¢5h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Ann Li DOWN 7.8pp · near-book depth $17 → $2.4K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ann Li; negative values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnn Li · $0
6hEkaterina Alexandrova · $6.0K
24hEkaterina Alexandrova · $8.2K

Ann Li price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ann Li price. Ekaterina Alexandrova fills are converted to the complementary Ann Li probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.0¢
VWAP 24h16.95¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d16.95¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ann Li price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$401
50¢
$11.7K
45¢
$36.3K
40¢
$4.1K
35¢
$83
30¢
$6.1K
25¢
$19.9K
20¢
$365
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$36.8K
0¢
← now
$93.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEkaterina Alexandrova$14.4K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago
SELLEkaterina Alexandrova$58.2K@ 99.9¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$11.8K@ 91.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$18.8K@ 73.98¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$10.0K@ 52.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$10.0K@ 51.11¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Li vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 22.5
—$583priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
—$153priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ann Li vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
40.5¢$58priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 23.5
—$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Alexandrova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Alexandrova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Alexandrova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstEkaterina Alexandrova$29.4K
BUY VWAP 50.41¢·4 fills
kkookkooEkaterina Alexandrova$18.8K
BUY VWAP 73.98¢·1 fill
FlaznorpEkaterina Alexandrova$14.6K
BUY VWAP 80.55¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesEkaterina Alexandrova$12.2K
BUY VWAP 85.04¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.