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Cavaliers vs. Bucks

Sports→BasketballSettlement: CavaliersLiquidity: $456.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.0MEvent: Cavaliers vs. Bucks
100.0¢
Cavaliers payout
0.0¢
Bucks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cavaliers · $25.0K net·15 wallets·$46.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBucks$25.0K@ 25¢·Lakersfan111

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cavaliers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

•If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20264 linked markets · $73.4K gross
HomeRunHazard8 linked markets · $73.2K gross
quavoo6 linked markets · $58.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Cavaliers@ 77.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Cavaliers@ 77.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Cavaliers@ 76.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cavaliers; negative values favor Bucks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCavaliers · $12.7K
6hCavaliers · $13.8K
24hCavaliers · $133.5K

Cavaliers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cavaliers price. Bucks fills are converted to the complementary Cavaliers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.48¢▲ above by 21.5pp
VWAP 7d78.43¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cavaliers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$38.5K
90¢
$3.8K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$6.6K
75¢
$269.4K
70¢
$15.5K
65¢
$2.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLCavaliers$21.8K@ 75.0¢
YEEES-but-why0x9052…3c2d
🐋—3 days ago
BUYBucks$25.0K@ 25.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYCavaliers$10.0K@ 76.0¢
Multicoloured-Serf0x958b…f826
🐋—3 days ago
BUYCavaliers$14.7K@ 75.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—3 days ago
BUYCavaliers$19.0K@ 75.0¢
BlazingFist0x5523…51e9
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooCavaliers$53.0K
BUY VWAP 75.95¢·67 fills
Lakersfan111Bucks$31.0K
BUY VWAP 24.80¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardCavaliers$24.6K
BUY VWAP 75.62¢·8 fills
BlazingFistCavaliers$19.2K
BUY VWAP 75.00¢·3 fills
Multicoloured-SerfCavaliers$17.8K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiCavaliers$14.7K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.