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Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: MagicLiquidity: $251.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $413.9KEvent: Magic vs. Knicks
0.0¢
Knicks payout
100.0¢
Magic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMagic$25.0K@ 51¢·Lakersfan111

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Magic. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 8d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 8d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Magic@ 51.0¢8d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Magic@ 51.0¢8d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +45.5pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Knicks; negative values favor Magic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMagic · $255
6hMagic · $88
24hMagic · $46.7K

Knicks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Knicks price. Magic fills are converted to the complementary Knicks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.44¢▼ below by 48.4pp
VWAP 7d48.44¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Knicks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3
55¢
$23
50¢
$19.2K
45¢
$155.5K
40¢
$116
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$48
0¢
← now
$1.6K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMagic$18.5K@ 53.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—8 days ago
BUYMagic$12.2K@ 52.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—8 days ago
BUYKnicks$12.6K@ 49.0¢
Zillahstone0xdbad…81aa
🐋—8 days ago
BUYMagic$25.0K@ 51.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—8 days ago
BUYMagic$24.6K@ 51.0¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—8 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.